While far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s odds of victory are long nearly two weeks before the runoff, Macron faces multiple dangers, from soft turnout to another embarrassing gaffe, that could narrow his margin of victory and undermine his authority as president, even though an outright upset isn’t yet feared.
Macron may be his own worst enemy, his team of aides and supporters feel. The independent centrist candidate, who came first in the presidential election’s first round with 24 percent of the vote, celebrated in an exuberant fashion that would have been more appropriate if he’d actually been elected president. “The key word should have been sobriety, and we forgot that,” said an aide in his inner circle. [...]
According to a Harris Interactive poll, 47 percent of Fillon voters, 52 percent of Mélenchon voters and 76 percent of those who went for Hamon say they will vote for Macron on May 7. [...]
Another possible pitfall would be a Russian hack attack. Computer security firm Trend Micro confirmed that the Macron campaign’s emails had been the target of numerous attacks from the Russian hacker group known as Fancy Bear, but so far, according to Macron aides, to no avail.
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