Trump’s standing among white evangelicals has remained virtually unchanged at 71 percent, according to a recent Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) poll conducted in late August and early September. [...]
White evangelicals remain the only religious group in America to view Trump favorably according to the poll. While white mainline Protestants — which include historically progressive denominations like Episcopalians and Presbyterians — remain about evenly split over Trump, other religious demographics overwhelmingly say they view his presidency negatively. Fifty-nine percent of Catholics and a full 75 percent of black Protestants view Trump negatively, as do 65 percent of the religiously unaffiliated. [...]
Jones told Vox that religious and ethnic identity have been reliable predictors of political partisanship since Ronald Reagan’s presidency. “Since Reagan, the basic religious landscape has been very consistent,” he said. White Christian groups — evangelicals, mainline Protestants, and Catholics — have tended to support the Republican candidate, while black Protestants, Hispanic Catholics, the religiously unaffiliated, and other ethno-religious groups lean Democratic.
However, Jones says, we’re seeing a shift away from Trump in one religious demographic: white mainline Protestants, among the most centrist voters. Historically progressive, white mainline voters have tended to vote for Republican candidates by a slight majority. Since Trump’s inauguration, however, white mainline Protestant support for Trump has dropped by a full 9 points, to 48 percent.
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